UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:39 PDT

men Ursinus 3
  
Ursinus               
W-L: ( 4- 5) PR = 88.7565

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 N Randolph-Macon ODAC ( 8- 2, 91.4) 13-15 221 A Oberlin NCAC ( 7- 3, 88.8) 7- 9 225 A Catholic Landmark ( 7- 4, 88.0) 15-14 227 A DeSales MAC-Freedom ( 3- 7, 84.8) 16- 8 306 H Kean CLC ( 6- 6, 85.5) 14-13 314 H Stockton CLC ( 8- 3, 91.5) 12-10 321 H Franklin & Marshall Centennial ( 6- 4, 92.1) 7-18 325 H Washington College Centennial ( 9- 2, 92.8) 9-15 328 A Haverford Centennial ( 8- 3, 90.0) 12-13 403 A Dickinson Centennial ( 8- 2, 94.1) 408 A Swarthmore Centennial ( 7- 5, 91.6) 411 H Gettysburg Centennial ( 5- 3, 92.9) 415 H Muhlenberg Centennial ( 5- 6, 89.1) 418 A Mary Washington CLC ( 6- 4, 87.3) 425 A McDaniel Centennial ( 5- 5, 82.7)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 N Randolph-Macon         13-15      -2    -3           0.69
   221 A Oberlin                 7- 9      -2     0          -1.65
   225 A Catholic               15-14       1     0           0.55
   227 A DeSales                16- 8       8     4           1.42
   306 H Kean                   14-13       1     4    -     -2.60
   314 H Stockton               12-10       2    -2    ++     4.45
   321 H Franklin & Marshall     7-18     -11    -3          -1.97
   325 H Washington College      9-15      -6    -4          -1.29
   328 A Haverford              12-13      -1    -2           0.53

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H Kean                   14-13       1     4    -     -2.60

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Stockton               12-10       2    -2    ++     4.45

Ursinus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adrian Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Albertus Magnus Ursinus   Ursinus
Albion Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Albright Ursinus   Ursinus
Alfred Ursinus   Ursinus
Alfred State Ursinus   Ursinus
Allegheny Ursinus   Ursinus
Alma Ursinus   Ursinus
Alvernia Ursinus   Ursinus
Amherst Amherst   Amherst
Anderson (IN) Ursinus   Ursinus
Anna Maria Ursinus   Ursinus
Arcadia Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Ursinus
Augustana Ursinus   Ursinus
Aurora Ursinus   Ursinus
Averett Ursinus   Ursinus
Babson Babson   Babson
Baldwin Wallace Ursinus insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ursinus
Bates Bates tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bates
Beloit Ursinus   Ursinus
Benedictine (IL) Ursinus   Ursinus
Berry Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Bethany Ursinus   Ursinus
Bowdoin Bowdoin   Bowdoin
Brevard Ursinus   Ursinus
Bridgewater Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Brockport Ursinus   Ursinus
Bryn Athyn Ursinus   Ursinus
Cairn Ursinus   Ursinus
Calvin Ursinus   Ursinus
Canton Ursinus   Ursinus
Capital Ursinus   Ursinus
Carroll Ursinus   Ursinus
Carthage Ursinus   Ursinus
Castleton Ursinus   Ursinus
Catholic Ursinus Ursinus  
Centenary (LA) Ursinus   Ursinus
Centenary (NJ) Ursinus   Ursinus
Centre Ursinus insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ursinus
Chatham Ursinus   Ursinus
Christopher Newport Christopher Newport Christopher Newport   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Clark Ursinus   Ursinus
Clarkson Clarkson   Clarkson
Coast Guard Ursinus   Ursinus
Cobleskill Ursinus   Ursinus
Colby Colby   Colby
Colorado College Colorado College tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Colorado College
Concordia-Wisconsin Ursinus   Ursinus
Connecticut College Connecticut College   Connecticut College
Cornell College Ursinus   Ursinus
Cortland Cortland   Cortland
Curry Ursinus   Ursinus
Dean College Ursinus   Ursinus
Delaware Valley Ursinus   Ursinus
Delhi Ursinus   Ursinus
Denison Denison   Denison
DePauw Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
DeSales Ursinus Ursinus  
Dickinson Dickinson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dickinson
Drew Ursinus   Ursinus
Dubuque Ursinus   Ursinus
Earlham Ursinus   Ursinus
Eastern Ursinus Ursinus   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Eastern Connecticut Ursinus   Ursinus
Edgewood Ursinus   Ursinus
Elizabethtown Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Ursinus
Elmhurst Elmhurst insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Elmhurst
Elmira Ursinus   Ursinus
Emerson Ursinus   Ursinus
Emmanuel (MA) Ursinus   Ursinus
Endicott Endicott tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Endicott
Farmingdale State Ursinus tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ursinus
FDU-Florham Ursinus   Ursinus
Franciscan Ursinus   Ursinus
Franklin & Marshall Franklin & Marshall Franklin & Marshall  
Geneseo Ursinus   Ursinus
Gettysburg Gettysburg   Gettysburg
Gordon Ursinus   Ursinus
Goucher Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Greensboro Ursinus   Ursinus
Grove City Grove City   Grove City
Guilford Ursinus   Ursinus
Gwynedd Mercy Ursinus   Ursinus
Hamilton Hamilton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hamilton
Hampden-Sydney Hampden-Sydney insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hampden-Sydney
Hanover Ursinus   Ursinus
Hartford Ursinus   Ursinus
Hartwick Ursinus   Ursinus
Haverford Haverford Haverford  
Heidelberg Ursinus   Ursinus
Hendrix Ursinus   Ursinus
Hilbert Ursinus   Ursinus
Hiram Ursinus   Ursinus
Hood Ursinus   Ursinus
Hope Hope   Hope
Huntingdon Ursinus   Ursinus
Husson Ursinus   Ursinus
Illinois Tech Ursinus   Ursinus
Illinois Wesleyan Ursinus   Ursinus
Immaculata Ursinus   Ursinus
Ithaca Ithaca   Ithaca
John Carroll Ursinus   Ursinus
Johnson & Wales Ursinus   Ursinus
Juniata Ursinus   Ursinus
Kalamazoo Ursinus   Ursinus
Kean Ursinus Ursinus  
Keene State Ursinus   Ursinus
Kenyon Kenyon   Kenyon
Keuka Ursinus   Ursinus
Kings Ursinus   Ursinus
La Roche Ursinus   Ursinus
LaGrange Ursinus   Ursinus
Lake Forest Ursinus   Ursinus
Lasell Ursinus   Ursinus
Lawrence Ursinus   Ursinus
Lebanon Valley Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Lycoming Ursinus   Ursinus
Lynchburg Lynchburg   Lynchburg
Maine Maritime Ursinus   Ursinus
Manhattanville Ursinus   Ursinus
Marian (WI) Ursinus   Ursinus
Marietta Ursinus   Ursinus
Maritime Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Mary Washington Ursinus insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Ursinus
Marymount Ursinus   Ursinus
Marywood Ursinus   Ursinus
Massachusetts Maritime Ursinus   Ursinus
Massachusetts-Boston Ursinus   Ursinus
McDaniel Ursinus tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Ursinus
MCLA Ursinus   Ursinus
Merchant Marine Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Messiah Ursinus Ursinus   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Methodist Ursinus   Ursinus
Middlebury Middlebury   Middlebury
Misericordia Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
MIT MIT   MIT
Mitchell Ursinus   Ursinus
Montclair State Ursinus tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ursinus
Moravian Ursinus Ursinus   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Morrisville Ursinus   Ursinus
Mount St Mary (NY) Ursinus   Ursinus
Mount St Vincent Ursinus   Ursinus
Mount Union Ursinus   Ursinus
MSOE Ursinus   Ursinus
Muhlenberg Muhlenberg tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Muhlenberg
Muskingum Ursinus   Ursinus
Nazareth Nazareth   Nazareth
Neumann Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Ursinus
New England College Ursinus   Ursinus
New Paltz Ursinus Ursinus   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Nichols Ursinus   Ursinus
North Central Ursinus   Ursinus
Northland Ursinus   Ursinus
Norwich Ursinus   Ursinus
Oberlin Oberlin Oberlin  
Oglethorpe Ursinus   Ursinus
Ohio Northern Ursinus   Ursinus
Ohio Wesleyan Ohio Wesleyan tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Ohio Wesleyan
Oneonta Ursinus   Ursinus
Oswego Ursinus   Ursinus
Otterbein Ursinus   Ursinus
Penn College Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Pfeiffer Ursinus   Ursinus
Piedmont Ursinus   Ursinus
Pitt-Bradford Ursinus   Ursinus
Plattsburgh Ursinus   Ursinus
Plymouth State Ursinus   Ursinus
Potsdam Ursinus   Ursinus
Purchase Ursinus   Ursinus
Randolph Ursinus   Ursinus
Randolph-Macon Randolph-Macon Randolph-Macon  
Regis (MA) Ursinus   Ursinus
Rhodes Ursinus   Ursinus
RIT RIT   RIT
Rivier Ursinus   Ursinus
Roanoke Roanoke   Roanoke
Roger Williams Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Rosemont Ursinus   Ursinus
RPI RPI tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) RPI
Sage Ursinus   Ursinus
Salem State Ursinus   Ursinus
Salisbury Salisbury   Salisbury
Salve Regina Ursinus   Ursinus
Scranton Scranton   Scranton
Sewanee Ursinus tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Ursinus
Shenandoah Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Skidmore Skidmore   Skidmore
Southern Maine Ursinus   Ursinus
Southern Virginia Ursinus   Ursinus
Southwestern Ursinus   Ursinus
Spalding Ursinus   Ursinus
Springfield Springfield   Springfield
St John Fisher St John Fisher insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St John Fisher
St Joseph (CT) Ursinus   Ursinus
St Josephs (LI) Ursinus   Ursinus
St Josephs (ME) Ursinus   Ursinus
St Lawrence St Lawrence   St Lawrence
St Marys (MD) St Marys (MD) insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) St Marys (MD)
St Vincent Ursinus   Ursinus
Stevens Stevens insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Stevens
Stevenson Ursinus   Ursinus
Stockton Ursinus Ursinus  
SUNY Poly Ursinus   Ursinus
Susquehanna Ursinus tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Ursinus
Swarthmore Swarthmore insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Swarthmore
Thiel Ursinus   Ursinus
Thomas Ursinus   Ursinus
Transylvania Ursinus   Ursinus
Trine Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Trinity Trinity   Trinity
Tufts Tufts   Tufts
U of New England Ursinus   Ursinus
Union Union   Union
Utica Ursinus   Ursinus
Vassar Ursinus   Ursinus
Virginia Wesleyan Ursinus   Ursinus
Wabash Ursinus   Ursinus
Warren Wilson Ursinus   Ursinus
Washington & Jefferson Ursinus   Ursinus
Washington & Lee Washington & Lee tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Washington & Lee
Washington College Washington College Washington College  
Wentworth Ursinus   Ursinus
Wesleyan Wesleyan   Wesleyan
Western Connecticut Ursinus   Ursinus
Western New England Ursinus   Ursinus
Westminster (PA) Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Wheaton Ursinus   Ursinus
Widener Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Ursinus
Wilkes Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
William Peace Ursinus   Ursinus
Williams Williams   Williams
Wilmington (OH) Ursinus   Ursinus
Wittenberg Ursinus   Ursinus
Wooster Ursinus   Ursinus
York York insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) York

PowerWise = 184


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.88

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 N Randolph-Macon  ( 8- 2, 91.4)    13-15       -8.45      30.79      -0.00         0.99            -8.34
   0 A Oberlin         ( 7- 3, 88.8)     7- 9      -11.12      28.13       0.33         0.99           -10.65
   0 A Catholic        ( 7- 4, 88.0)    15-14      -11.93      27.32       0.33         0.99            27.28
   0 A DeSales         ( 3- 7, 84.8)    16- 8      -15.05      24.19       0.33         0.99            24.20
   0 H Kean            ( 6- 6, 85.5)    14-13      -14.41      24.84      -0.33         0.99            24.18
   0 H Stockton        ( 8- 3, 91.5)    12-10       -8.37      30.88      -0.33         0.99            30.14
   0 H Franklin & Mar  ( 6- 4, 92.1)     7-18       -7.78      31.46      -0.33         0.99            -8.01
   0 H Washington Col  ( 9- 2, 92.8)     9-15       -7.11      32.14      -0.33         0.99            -7.34
   0 A Haverford       ( 8- 3, 90.0)    12-13       -9.95      29.30       0.33         0.99            -9.49
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        61.99

winning pts = 105.8107 losing points = -43.8236

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------