UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

men Ursinus 3
  
Ursinus               
W-L: ( 5-10) PR = 88.2815

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 215 H Randolph-Macon ODAC (12- 8, 89.1) 9-17 219 A Western Connecticut LEC (13- 6, 88.8) 14-15 222 A Eastern MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 9, 89.4) 7-10 301 H DeSales MAC-Freedom (10-10, 87.5) 12-11 308 N RIT Liberty Leagu (18- 1, 97.3) 4-20 314 N Illinois Wesleyan CCIW (14- 2, 88.7) 15-11 316 A Colorado College HCLC South ( 8- 6, 88.9) 9-18 322 A Franklin & Marshall Centennial (11- 6, 91.9) 5- 7 326 A Washington College Centennial ( 7-10, 89.9) 10- 9 329 H Haverford Centennial ( 9- 7, 89.7) 10- 9 404 H Dickinson Centennial (13- 5, 93.7) 6-17 409 H Swarthmore Centennial (12- 5, 93.5) 7-17 412 A Gettysburg Centennial (13- 4, 94.8) 10-20 416 A Muhlenberg Centennial (10- 9, 91.7) 12-20 426 H McDaniel Centennial ( 4-13, 83.9) 14- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 H Randolph-Macon          9-17      -8    -1    --    -4.47
   219 A Western Connecticut    14-15      -1    -1          -0.14
   222 A Eastern                 7-10      -3    -1          -1.57
   301 H DeSales                12-11       1     1          -0.11
   308 N RIT                     4-20     -16    -9           0.00
   314 N Illinois Wesleyan      15-11       4     0    ++     4.38
   316 A Colorado College        9-18      -9    -1    --    -4.01
   322 A Franklin & Marshall     5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.00
   326 A Washington College     10- 9       1    -2    +      2.93
   329 H Haverford              10- 9       1    -1    +      2.04
   404 H Dickinson               6-17     -11    -5           0.00
   409 H Swarthmore              7-17     -10    -5          -0.11
   412 A Gettysburg             10-20     -10    -7           0.00
   416 A Muhlenberg             12-20      -8    -4          -1.20
   426 H McDaniel               14- 9       5     5           0.33

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 H Randolph-Macon          9-17      -8    -1    --    -4.47
   316 A Colorado College        9-18      -9    -1    --    -4.01

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 N Illinois Wesleyan      15-11       4     0    ++     4.38
   322 A Franklin & Marshall     5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.00
   326 A Washington College     10- 9       1    -2    +      2.93
   329 H Haverford              10- 9       1    -1    +      2.04

Ursinus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adrian Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Albertus Magnus Ursinus   Ursinus
Albion Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Albright Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Alfred Ursinus   Ursinus
Alfred State Ursinus   Ursinus
Allegheny Ursinus   Ursinus
Alma Ursinus   Ursinus
Alvernia Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Amherst Amherst   Amherst
Anderson (IN) Ursinus   Ursinus
Anna Maria Ursinus   Ursinus
Arcadia Ursinus insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Ursinus
Augustana Ursinus   Ursinus
Aurora Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Ursinus
Averett Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Babson Babson   Babson
Baldwin Wallace Baldwin Wallace   Baldwin Wallace
Bates Bates insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bates
Beloit Ursinus   Ursinus
Benedictine (IL) Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Berry Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Bethany Ursinus   Ursinus
Bowdoin Bowdoin   Bowdoin
Brevard Ursinus   Ursinus
Bridgewater Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Brockport Ursinus   Ursinus
Bryn Athyn Ursinus   Ursinus
Cairn Ursinus   Ursinus
Calvin Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Canton Ursinus   Ursinus
Capital Ursinus   Ursinus
Carroll Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Carthage Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Castleton Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Catholic Ursinus insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Ursinus
Centenary (LA) Ursinus   Ursinus
Centenary (NJ) Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Centre Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Chatham Ursinus Ursinus   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Christopher Newport Christopher Newport insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Christopher Newport
Clark Ursinus   Ursinus
Clarkson Clarkson insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Clarkson
Coast Guard Coast Guard   Coast Guard
Cobleskill Ursinus   Ursinus
Colby Colby   Colby
Colorado College Colorado College Colorado College  
Concordia-Wisconsin Ursinus   Ursinus
Connecticut College Connecticut College insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Connecticut College
Cornell College Ursinus   Ursinus
Cortland Cortland insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Cortland
Curry Ursinus   Ursinus
Dean College Ursinus   Ursinus
Delaware Valley Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Delhi Ursinus   Ursinus
Denison Denison tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Denison
DePauw Ursinus   Ursinus
DeSales Ursinus Ursinus  
Dickinson Dickinson Dickinson  
Drew Ursinus   Ursinus
Dubuque Ursinus   Ursinus
Earlham Ursinus   Ursinus
Eastern Eastern Eastern  
Eastern Connecticut Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Edgewood Ursinus   Ursinus
Elizabethtown Elizabethtown insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Elizabethtown
Elmhurst Elmhurst tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Elmhurst
Elmira Ursinus   Ursinus
Emerson Ursinus   Ursinus
Emmanuel (MA) Ursinus   Ursinus
Endicott Endicott insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Endicott
Farmingdale State Farmingdale State insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Farmingdale State
FDU-Florham Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Franciscan Ursinus   Ursinus
Franklin & Marshall Franklin & Marshall Franklin & Marshall  
Geneseo Geneseo tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Geneseo
Gettysburg Gettysburg Gettysburg  
Gordon Ursinus   Ursinus
Goucher Ursinus tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ursinus
Greensboro Ursinus   Ursinus
Grove City Grove City insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Grove City
Guilford Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Gwynedd Mercy Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Hamilton Hamilton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hamilton
Hampden-Sydney Hampden-Sydney insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hampden-Sydney
Hanover Ursinus   Ursinus
Hartford Ursinus insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ursinus
Hartwick Ursinus   Ursinus
Haverford Ursinus Ursinus  
Heidelberg Ursinus   Ursinus
Hendrix Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Hilbert Ursinus   Ursinus
Hiram Ursinus   Ursinus
Hood Ursinus tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Ursinus
Hope Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Huntingdon Ursinus   Ursinus
Husson Ursinus   Ursinus
Illinois Tech Ursinus   Ursinus
Illinois Wesleyan Ursinus Ursinus  
Immaculata Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Ithaca Ithaca tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ithaca
John Carroll Ursinus insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ursinus
Johnson & Wales Ursinus   Ursinus
Juniata Ursinus   Ursinus
Kalamazoo Ursinus   Ursinus
Kean Kean Kean   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Keene State Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Kenyon Kenyon insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Kenyon
Keuka Ursinus   Ursinus
Kings Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
La Roche Ursinus   Ursinus
LaGrange Ursinus   Ursinus
Lake Forest Ursinus   Ursinus
Lasell Ursinus   Ursinus
Lawrence Ursinus   Ursinus
Lebanon Valley Ursinus Ursinus   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Lycoming Ursinus   Ursinus
Lynchburg Lynchburg insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lynchburg
Maine Maritime Ursinus   Ursinus
Manhattanville Ursinus   Ursinus
Marian (WI) Ursinus   Ursinus
Marietta Ursinus   Ursinus
Maritime Ursinus   Ursinus
Mary Washington Mary Washington tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Mary Washington
Marymount Ursinus   Ursinus
Marywood Ursinus   Ursinus
Massachusetts Maritime Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Massachusetts-Boston Ursinus tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Ursinus
McDaniel Ursinus Ursinus  
MCLA Ursinus   Ursinus
Merchant Marine Ursinus insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ursinus
Messiah Ursinus tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Ursinus
Methodist Ursinus   Ursinus
Middlebury Middlebury   Middlebury
Misericordia Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Ursinus
MIT MIT   MIT
Mitchell Ursinus   Ursinus
Montclair State Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Ursinus
Moravian Ursinus tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Ursinus
Morrisville Ursinus   Ursinus
Mount St Mary (NY) Ursinus   Ursinus
Mount St Vincent Ursinus   Ursinus
Mount Union Ursinus   Ursinus
MSOE Ursinus   Ursinus
Muhlenberg Muhlenberg Muhlenberg  
Muskingum Ursinus   Ursinus
Nazareth Nazareth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nazareth
Neumann Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
New England College Ursinus   Ursinus
New Paltz Ursinus   Ursinus
Nichols Ursinus   Ursinus
North Central Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Ursinus
Northland Ursinus   Ursinus
Norwich Ursinus   Ursinus
Oberlin Oberlin   Oberlin
Oglethorpe Ursinus   Ursinus
Ohio Northern Ohio Northern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ohio Northern
Ohio Wesleyan Ohio Wesleyan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ohio Wesleyan
Oneonta Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Oswego Ursinus   Ursinus
Otterbein Ursinus   Ursinus
Penn College Ursinus   Ursinus
Pfeiffer Ursinus   Ursinus
Piedmont Ursinus   Ursinus
Pitt-Bradford Ursinus   Ursinus
Plattsburgh Ursinus   Ursinus
Plymouth State Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Potsdam Ursinus   Ursinus
Purchase Ursinus   Ursinus
Randolph Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Randolph-Macon Randolph-Macon Randolph-Macon  
Regis (MA) Ursinus   Ursinus
Rhodes Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Ursinus
RIT RIT RIT  
Rivier Ursinus   Ursinus
Roanoke Roanoke insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Roanoke
Roger Williams Ursinus   Ursinus
Rosemont Ursinus   Ursinus
RPI RPI insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) RPI
Sage Ursinus   Ursinus
Salem State Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Salisbury Salisbury Salisbury   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Salve Regina Salve Regina   Salve Regina
Scranton Scranton tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Scranton
Sewanee Ursinus tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Ursinus
Shenandoah Ursinus tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Ursinus
Skidmore Skidmore insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Skidmore
Southern Maine Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Southern Virginia Ursinus   Ursinus
Southwestern Ursinus   Ursinus
Spalding Ursinus   Ursinus
Springfield Springfield   Springfield
St John Fisher St John Fisher insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) St John Fisher
St Joseph (CT) Ursinus   Ursinus
St Josephs (LI) Ursinus   Ursinus
St Josephs (ME) Ursinus   Ursinus
St Lawrence St Lawrence tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Lawrence
St Marys (MD) St Marys (MD) insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) St Marys (MD)
St Vincent Ursinus   Ursinus
Stevens Stevens Stevens   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Stevenson Stevenson Stevenson   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Stockton Stockton tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Stockton
SUNY Poly Ursinus   Ursinus
Susquehanna Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Swarthmore Swarthmore Swarthmore  
Thiel Ursinus   Ursinus
Thomas Ursinus   Ursinus
Transylvania Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Ursinus
Trine Ursinus   Ursinus
Trinity Trinity insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Trinity
Tufts Tufts insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Tufts
U of New England Ursinus   Ursinus
Union Union insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Union
Utica Ursinus   Ursinus
Vassar Vassar tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Vassar
Virginia Wesleyan Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Wabash Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Warren Wilson Ursinus   Ursinus
Washington & Jefferson Ursinus   Ursinus
Washington & Lee Washington & Lee Washington & Lee   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Washington College Ursinus Ursinus  
Wentworth Ursinus   Ursinus
Wesleyan Wesleyan   Wesleyan
Western Connecticut Western Connecticut Western Connecticut  
Western New England Western New England   Western New England
Westminster (PA) Ursinus   Ursinus
Wheaton Ursinus   Ursinus
Widener Ursinus Ursinus   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Wilkes Ursinus   Ursinus
William Peace Ursinus   Ursinus
Williams Williams   Williams
Wilmington (OH) Ursinus   Ursinus
Wittenberg Ursinus   Ursinus
Wooster Ursinus insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ursinus
York York York   5- 1 vs 0- 6

PowerWise = 172


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.90

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Randolph-Macon  (12- 8, 89.1)     9-17      -10.75      29.20      -0.34         1.06           -11.76
   0 A Western Connec  (13- 6, 88.8)    14-15      -11.09      28.86       0.34         1.06           -11.40
   0 A Eastern         ( 9- 9, 89.4)     7-10      -10.53      29.43       0.34         1.06           -10.80
   0 H DeSales         (10-10, 87.5)    12-11      -12.39      27.57      -0.34         1.06            28.86
   0 N RIT             (18- 1, 97.3)     4-20       -2.56      37.39      -0.00         1.06            -2.72
   0 N Illinois Wesle  (14- 2, 88.7)    15-11      -11.24      28.71      -0.00         1.06            30.43
   0 A Colorado Colle  ( 8- 6, 88.9)     9-18      -10.97      28.99       0.34         1.06           -11.27
   0 A Franklin & Mar  (11- 6, 91.9)     5- 7       -7.96      32.00       0.34         1.06            -8.07
   0 A Washington Col  ( 7-10, 89.9)    10- 9      -10.02      29.93       0.34         1.06            32.08
   0 H Haverford       ( 9- 7, 89.7)    10- 9      -10.24      29.72      -0.34         1.06            31.14
   0 H Dickinson       (13- 5, 93.7)     6-17       -6.16      33.79      -0.34         1.06            -6.89
   0 H Swarthmore      (12- 5, 93.5)     7-17       -6.39      33.57      -0.34         1.06            -7.13
   0 A Gettysburg      (13- 4, 94.8)    10-20       -5.10      34.86       0.34         1.06            -5.05
   0 A Muhlenberg      (10- 9, 91.7)    12-20       -8.16      31.80       0.34         1.06            -8.29
   0 H McDaniel        ( 4-13, 83.9)    14- 9      -15.95      24.01      -0.34         1.06            25.09
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        64.23

winning pts = 147.5984 losing points = -83.3667

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------